Tanzania Premier League, round 7 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK
Simba SC — Young Africans
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Missed
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (35%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 35% fails in about 65 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Simba SC 34%, Young Africans 31%, draw 35%.
The model expects few goals: 1.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 21%, both teams to score — 30%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Young Africans are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Simba SC — Young Africans What is xG? | 0.8–0.8 | |
| Simba SC not to lose | 69% | |
| Young Africans not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 30% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 70% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 21% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 79% |
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- Young Africans goals
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Form
- 16.09away · Azam FC2:0
- 31.08Geita Gold FC2:0
- 27.08Coastal Union1:0
- 22.08away · Singida Black Stars2:1
- 19.08away · Pamba Jiji2:1
- 15.09Geita Gold FC1:0
- 31.08away · Fountain Gate FC2:0
- 28.08Pamba Jiji2:0
- 24.08JKT Tanzania4:0
- 20.08Coastal Union4:1
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Simba SC — Young Africans2:2
- 01.03.2026Young Africans — Simba SC0:0
- 25.06.2025Young Africans — Simba SC2:0
- 19.10.2024Simba SC — Young Africans0:1
- 20.04.2024Young Africans — Simba SC2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba SC | 8 | 8 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam FC | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
Next matches
- Simba SCMashujaa13 October · Tanzania Premier League871031The most likely outcome came true: 16:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.2
- TRA UnitedYoung Africans24 October · Tanzania Premier League · preliminary821712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →