Swedish Allsvenskan, round 27 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Sirius — Halmstads BK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sirius are clear favourites: 76% against 9% for the opponent, draw 16%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sirius are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sirius — Halmstads BK What is xG? | 2.5–0.9 | |
| Sirius not to lose | 91% | |
| Halmstads BK not to lose | 24% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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- Handicap Sirius
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Form
- 10.10away · GAIS1:0
- 19.09away · Örgryte2:1
- 14.09Degerfors2:0
- 05.09away · Västerås SK1:0
- 31.08Malmö FF0:1
- 12.10away · Elfsborg0:4
- 20.09AIK2:1
- 12.09away · IFK Göteborg1:2
- 05.09away · Degerfors0:2
- 29.08Kalmar FF1:0
Head to head
- 03.08.2026Halmstads BK — Sirius0:2
- 09.08.2025Halmstads BK — Sirius0:1
- 27.04.2025Sirius — Halmstads BK1:1
- 19.10.2024Halmstads BK — Sirius3:1
- 01.04.2024Sirius — Halmstads BK3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Sirius | 23 | 17 | +25 | 54 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Djurgården | 23 | 14 | +27 | 44 |
| 15, Relegation | Örgryte | 23 | 3 | -27 | 15 |
| 16, Relegation | Halmstads BK | 23 | 3 | -28 | 14 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →