Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Sporting Cristal — Comerciantes Unidos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Sporting Cristal are clear favourites: 73% against 10% for the opponent, draw 17%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting Cristal are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting Cristal — Comerciantes Unidos What is xG? | 2.4–0.8 | |
| Sporting Cristal not to lose | 90% | |
| Comerciantes Unidos not to lose | 27% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting Cristal
- Sporting Cristal goals
- Comerciantes Unidos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · CD UT Cajamarca1:0
- 19.09Atlético Grau3:1
- 13.09away · Club Deportivo Moquegua2:1
- 06.09Los Chankas5:0
- 30.08away · Sport Boys0:1
- 10.10ADC Juan Pablo II1:1
- 18.09away · Alianza Atlético1:2
- 12.09Sport Huancayo0:1
- 06.09away · Universitario de Deportes2:2
- 28.08FC Cajamarca2:3
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Comerciantes Unidos — Sporting Cristal1:0
- 01.11.2025Comerciantes Unidos — Sporting Cristal1:4
- 29.06.2025Sporting Cristal — Comerciantes Unidos2:0
- 03.11.2024Sporting Cristal — Comerciantes Unidos3:0
- 25.05.2024Comerciantes Unidos — Sporting Cristal0:1
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 711991The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- 5724191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.9
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →