PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Liga MX (Mexico), round 17 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Tigres — América

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 22 November

Tigres30%
Draw28%
América41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

América are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 28%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings América are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • América are 53 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Tigres — No. 15, 15 pts; América — No. 1, 29 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
  • Tigres: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Tigres 2 wins, América 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tigres — América What is xG?1.3–1.6
Tigres not to lose59%
América not to lose70%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes61%
Both teams to score: no39%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

181 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Tigres
  • Tigres goals
  • América goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatTigresAmérica
Goals scored per match0.72.6
Goals conceded per match1.21.9
xG per match1.222.05
Opponents’ xG1.771.49
Shots13.919.3
On target5.27.5
Corners5.65.4
Cards1.72.0
Possession, %4955

Averages per match: Tigres — the last 10, América — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Tigres

  • 01.11away · Pachuca0:3
  • 25.10away · Pumas1:1
  • 21.10León0:2
  • 18.10away · Chivas1:1
  • 10.10Toluca3:2

América

  • 01.11Toluca2:2
  • 29.10Tijuana1:1
  • 26.10Pachuca1:2
  • 22.10away · Atlas5:2
  • 18.10away · León5:3

Head to head

  • 01.03.2026América — Tigres1:4
  • 17.08.2025Tigres — América1:3
  • 30.03.2025América — Tigres3:0
  • 18.07.2024Tigres — América1:0
  • 10.03.2024América — Tigres2:0

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Apertura)
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Liguilla (playoffs)América1585236–21+1529
2, Liguilla (playoffs)Chivas1585225–14+1129
14Puebla1544717–23-616
15Tigres1536615–22-715
16Atlante1535716–24-814

Season 2026 (Apertura)

Full table

Liga MX on the same day

  • Santos LagunaLeónpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
  • PachucaTolucapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
  • PumasMonterreypreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →