K League 1 (South Korea), round 32 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Ulsan HD FC — Bucheon FC 1995
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Ulsan HD FC are clear favourites: 56% against 19% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ulsan HD FC are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ulsan HD FC — Bucheon FC 1995 What is xG? | 1.9–1.1 | |
| Ulsan HD FC not to lose | 81% | |
| Bucheon FC 1995 not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ulsan HD FC
- Ulsan HD FC goals
- Bucheon FC 1995 goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Gwangju FC3:4
- 19.09away · FC Anyang1:2
- 12.09Incheon United2:1
- 08.09FC Seoul1:0
- 05.09away · Jeju SK0:0
- 09.10away · Gangwon FC0:2
- 19.09Gimcheon Sangmu0:2
- 12.09Jeju SK2:2
- 08.09away · Incheon United1:2
- 05.09Daejeon Hana Citizen0:5
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Ulsan HD FC — Bucheon FC 19951:0
- 15.03.2026Bucheon FC 1995 — Ulsan HD FC1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | FC Seoul | 31 | 20 | +32 | 65 |
| 2, Championship round | Ulsan HD FC | 31 | 14 | +4 | 47 |
| 3, Championship round | Gangwon FC | 31 | 11 | +10 | 46 |
| 10, Relegation round | Gimcheon Sangmu | 31 | 5 | -7 | 33 |
| 11, Relegation round | Bucheon FC 1995 | 31 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 12, Relegation play-off | Gwangju FC | 31 | 2 | -41 | 18 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →