UEFA Conference League, round 3 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Universitatea Craiova — Egnatia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Universitatea Craiova are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Universitatea Craiova are 66 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Universitatea Craiova — No. 19, 1 pt; Egnatia — No. 22, 1 pt.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Universitatea Craiova — Egnatia What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Universitatea Craiova not to lose | 70% | |
| Egnatia not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Universitatea Craiova
- Universitatea Craiova goals
- Egnatia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 15.10Getafe1:1
- 18.12away · AEK Athens2:3
- 11.12Sparta Prague1:2
- 27.11Mainz 051:0
- 06.11away · Rapid Wien1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Riga FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Universitatea Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Heart of Midlothian | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 22, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Egnatia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 23, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
Conference League on the same day
- AtalantaKairat Almatypreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- FC MidtjyllandAjaxpreliminary3926351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FK Crvena ZvezdaInter Club d'Escaldespreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- KuPSGentpreliminary2023562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Lincoln Red Imps FCHajduk Splitpreliminary3126432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- TrabzonsporFreiburgpreliminary4825271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- AGFBragapreliminary3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- ThunHeart of Midlothianpreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →