Danish Superliga, round 13 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Viborg — AC Horsens

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Model prediction for 1 November

Viborg54%
Draw26%
AC Horsens20%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Viborg are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 63%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Viborg are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Viborg — AC Horsens What is xG?1.9–1.2
Viborg not to lose80%
AC Horsens not to lose46%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes63%
Both teams to score: no37%
Total over 2.561%
Total under 2.539%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Viborg
  • Viborg goals
  • AC Horsens goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Viborg

  • 11.10away · Randers FC2:0
  • 20.09Nordsjælland4:1
  • 13.09away · Silkeborg1:1
  • 04.09Lyngby0:2
  • 28.08away · AC Horsens3:2

AC Horsens

  • 11.10away · Silkeborg3:3
  • 20.09AGF2:2
  • 11.09away · FC København0:2
  • 06.09away · Sønderjyske5:2
  • 28.08Viborg2:3

Head to head

  • 28.08.2026AC Horsens — Viborg2:3
  • 26.02.2023AC Horsens — Viborg0:3
  • 12.09.2022Viborg — AC Horsens2:1

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Championship roundFC Midtjylland1064019–10+922
3, Championship roundViborg1062217–8+920
4, Championship roundNordsjælland1053214–10+418
5, Championship roundBrøndby IF1051417–17016
6, Championship roundAC Horsens1033418–19-112
7, Relegation roundSilkeborg1025315–15011

Season 2026/27

Full table

Danish Superliga on the same day

  • OBSilkeborgpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
  • Brøndby IFAGFpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →