UEFA Europa League, round 3 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Viktoria Plzeň — Levski Sofia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Viktoria Plzeň are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Viktoria Plzeň are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Viktoria Plzeň — Levski Sofia What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| Viktoria Plzeň not to lose | 83% | |
| Levski Sofia not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Viktoria Plzeň
- Viktoria Plzeň goals
- Levski Sofia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 17.09Union St.Gilloise0:3
- 26.02Panathinaikos1:1
- 19.02away · Panathinaikos2:2
- 29.01away · Basel1:0
- 22.01FC Porto1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 33 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Viktoria Plzeň | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznań | 1 | 0 | -4 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- JuventusRennespreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- FerencvárosTorreensepreliminary5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Union St.GilloiseHapoel Beer Shevapreliminary801471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegenpreliminary4826271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Sturm GrazMarseillepreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Lech PoznańSunderlandpreliminary6023181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- OFI CreteBayer Leverkusenpreliminary1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- Ararat ArmeniaAZ Alkmaarpreliminary2325522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →