EFL Championship, round 14 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
West Bromwich Albion — Southampton
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: West Bromwich Albion 36%, Southampton 35%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: West Bromwich Albion — No. 5, 17 pts; Southampton — No. 3, 17 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: West Bromwich Albion 0 wins, Southampton 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: West Bromwich Albion — Southampton What is xG? | 1.3–1.3 | |
| West Bromwich Albion not to lose | 65% | |
| Southampton not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap West Bromwich Albion
- West Bromwich Albion goals
- Southampton goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Wrexham2:1
- 10.10Birmingham City0:1
- 20.09away · Wolverhampton Wanderers0:1
- 12.09Queens Park Rangers1:1
- 09.09away · Derby County1:0
- 11.10Portsmouth1:0
- 19.09away · Wrexham1:2
- 12.09Bristol City4:1
- 08.09Swansea City3:1
- 05.09away · Lincoln City1:1
Head to head
- 11.03.2026West Bromwich Albion — Southampton1:1
- 09.12.2025Southampton — West Bromwich Albion3:2
- 17.05.2024Southampton — West Bromwich Albion3:1
- 12.05.2024West Bromwich Albion — Southampton0:0
- 16.02.2024West Bromwich Albion — Southampton0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Promotion | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Southampton | 9 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Birmingham City | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 9 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
Championship on the same day
- Blackburn RoversStoke Citypreliminary4528271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Derby CountyNorwich Citypreliminary2728462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- PortsmouthSwansea Citypreliminary3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- Preston North EndSheffield Unitedpreliminary3729351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Queens Park RangersBurnleypreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- WatfordLincoln Citypreliminary333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
- Charlton AthleticBolton Wandererspreliminary3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Birmingham CityMillwallpreliminary5427201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →