EFL Championship, round 9 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · London Stadium
West Ham United — Queens Park Rangers
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, West Ham United to win (62%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 62% fails in about 38 matches out of 100 on average.
West Ham United are clear favourites: 62% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings West Ham United are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Queens Park Rangers: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: West Ham United — Queens Park Rangers What is xG? | 2.4–1.2 | |
| West Ham United not to lose | 83% | |
| Queens Park Rangers not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap West Ham United
- West Ham United goals
- Queens Park Rangers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · Millwall2:2
- 15.09Fulham2:3
- 11.09Wrexham6:0
- 08.09away · Bolton Wanderers3:2
- 05.09Derby County3:0
- 19.09Preston North End2:2
- 12.09away · West Bromwich Albion1:1
- 09.09away · Charlton Athletic0:0
- 05.09Middlesbrough0:1
- 02.09Cardiff City2:1
Head to head
- 11.01.2026West Ham United — Queens Park Rangers2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 9 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
Next matches
- Queens Park RangersDerby County14 October · Championship5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Lincoln CityWest Ham United14 October · Championship2326522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →