FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
York City — Northampton Town
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: York City 39%, Northampton Town 34%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- York City are 69 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: York City — Northampton Town What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| York City not to lose | 66% | |
| Northampton Town not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap York City
- York City goals
- Northampton Town goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Barnsley2:3
- 02.11away · Wycombe Wanderers2:3
- 01.12Wigan Athletic0:1
- 14.11Chester FC2:1
- 04.11away · Chester FC0:0
- 08.08away · Leicester City0:1
- 01.11away · Oldham Athletic1:3
- 12.08Southampton0:1
- 02.11Kettering Town FC1:2
- 13.08Wycombe Wanderers0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →