Nigeria NPFL: matchday 9 predictions
17–18 October · 9 matches · season 2026/27
Nigeria NPFL matchday 9: 9 matches, 17–18 October. The model expects 2.2 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 8 matches, an away win in 0 and a draw in 1. In matchday 8 the most likely outcome came true in 7 of 10 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Most goals expectedPlateau United — Sporting LagosPlateau United 69% to win; most likely score 2:0; 2.5 goals on average; over 2.5: 46%
- Closest matchInter Lagos — Nasarawa United36% v 32%, draw 32%
- Possible upsetDoma United — Kun KhalifatKun Khalifat 22% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
- Top-of-the-table clashRivers United FC — Barau2nd v 4th in the table: 68% v 10%
What is at stake
Enugu Rangers lead with 17 points from 8 matches; Rivers United FC are second, 1 point behind. Title chances by the season forecast: Enugu Rangers 23%, Rivers United FC 57%.
The matches
Saturday, 17 October
- 5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
Sunday, 18 October
- 6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.7
- 6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 6324141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- 4929221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- 6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 731791The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6821101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- 5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
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