Uruguayan Primera: matchday 11 predictions
17–20 October · 8 matches · season 2026
Uruguayan Primera matchday 11: 8 matches, 17–20 October. The model expects 2.3 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 4 matches, an away win in 3 and a draw in 1. In matchday 10 the most likely outcome came true in 2 of 8 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteNacional (URU) — Deportivo MaldonadoNacional (URU) 50% to win; most likely score 2:1
- Closest matchCerro — Cerro Largo37% v 31%, draw 32%
- Most goals expectedAlbion — Montevideo City Torque3.2 goals on average; over 2.5: 61%
The matches
Saturday, 17 October
- 373231XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- 2830432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.2
- 4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- 4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
Sunday, 18 October
- 2827462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- 4331261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
Monday, 19 October
- 2730442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
Tuesday, 20 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.