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AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Abbotsford Canucks — Ontario Reign

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Model prediction for 7 November

Abbotsford Canucks42%
Draw in regulation22%
Ontario Reign36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Abbotsford Canucks are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Abbotsford Canucks — No. 2, 15 pts; Ontario Reign — No. 24, 10 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Abbotsford Canucks: 5 wins in a row; Ontario Reign: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Abbotsford Canucks 3 wins, Ontario Reign 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Abbotsford Canucks — Ontario Reign2.7–2.5
Abbotsford Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Ontario Reign to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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Form

Abbotsford Canucks

  • 31.10away · Bakersfield Condors5:1
  • 29.10away · San Jose Barracuda5:2
  • 26.10Calgary Wranglers4:2
  • 25.10Calgary Wranglers3:1
  • 19.10Coachella Valley Firebirds5:4 SO

Ontario Reign

  • 01.11Tucson Roadrunners2:3
  • 31.10Tucson Roadrunners4:5
  • 29.10away · Henderson Silver Knights1:4
  • 25.10away · Texas Stars2:5
  • 24.10away · Texas Stars5:3

Head to head

  • 19.04.2026Ontario Reign — Abbotsford Canucks0:2
  • 19.03.2026Ontario Reign — Abbotsford Canucks3:1
  • 19.02.2026Ontario Reign — Abbotsford Canucks4:2
  • 17.02.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Ontario Reign5:3
  • 15.02.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Ontario Reign2:1

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
1Grand Rapids Griffins1182142–25+1718.818
2Abbotsford Canucks1071240–28+1215.750
3Utica Comets860222–21+112.750
23Providence Bruins1150638–30+810.455
24Ontario Reign1150633–42-910.455
25Lehigh Valley Phantoms1041528–42-149.450

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →