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AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Belleville Senators — Lehigh Valley Phantoms

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Model prediction for 7 November

Belleville Senators42%
Draw in regulation21%
Lehigh Valley Phantoms37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Close to a coin flip: Belleville Senators 53%, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 47% including overtime.

5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Belleville Senators — No. 20, 12 pts; Lehigh Valley Phantoms — No. 25, 9 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Belleville Senators 1 win, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Belleville Senators — Lehigh Valley Phantoms2.9–2.7
Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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  • Belleville Senators goals
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Form

Belleville Senators

  • 01.11Toronto Marlies4:1
  • 31.10Hartford Wolf Pack1:4
  • 25.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms0:2
  • 25.10away · Hershey Bears2:5
  • 24.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton7:3

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

  • 01.11Providence Bruins0:8
  • 31.10away · Rochester Americans3:6
  • 25.10Belleville Senators2:0
  • 25.10Syracuse Crunch2:7
  • 18.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds3:2 OT

Head to head

  • 25.10.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Belleville Senators2:0
  • 04.01.2026Belleville Senators — Lehigh Valley Phantoms1:3
  • 12.10.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Belleville Senators5:2
  • 29.03.2025Belleville Senators — Lehigh Valley Phantoms3:2
  • 16.01.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Belleville Senators3:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
19Hartford Wolf Pack1361633–37-413.500
20Belleville Senators1252536–40-412.500
21Chicago Wolves1151528–40-1211.500
24Ontario Reign1150633–42-910.455
25Lehigh Valley Phantoms1041528–42-149.450
26Springfield Thunderbirds1033425–33-89.450

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →