AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Springfield Thunderbirds — Hershey Bears
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Hershey Bears are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Springfield Thunderbirds — No. 26, 9 pts; Hershey Bears — No. 12, 12 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Springfield Thunderbirds 2 wins, Hershey Bears 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Springfield Thunderbirds — Hershey Bears | 2.6–2.8 | |
| Springfield Thunderbirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Springfield Thunderbirds
- Springfield Thunderbirds goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11Hartford Wolf Pack2:4
- 31.10Providence Bruins6:7 OT
- 25.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:1
- 24.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:3
- 18.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:3 OT
- 02.11Wilkes-Barre/Scranton0:5
- 31.10away · Toronto Marlies3:5
- 29.10away · Rochester Americans3:2
- 25.10Belleville Senators5:2
- 18.10Providence Bruins1:6
Head to head
- 04.04.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hershey Bears4:2
- 01.11.2025Springfield Thunderbirds — Hershey Bears2:3 OT
- 20.10.2025Hershey Bears — Springfield Thunderbirds1:5
- 19.10.2025Hershey Bears — Springfield Thunderbirds5:1
- 20.03.2025Springfield Thunderbirds — Hershey Bears2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cleveland Monsters | 10 | 6 | -1 | 12 | .600 |
| 12 | Hershey Bears | 10 | 6 | -2 | 12 | .600 |
| 13 | Toronto Marlies | 11 | 6 | +1 | 13 | .591 |
| 25 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 10 | 4 | -14 | 9 | .450 |
| 26 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 10 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .450 |
| 27 | Rockford IceHogs | 10 | 4 | -8 | 8 | .400 |
AHL on the same day
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 30702The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →