AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Hamilton Hammers — Providence Bruins
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Providence Bruins are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Providence Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Hamilton Hammers — No. 31, 8 pts; Providence Bruins — No. 23, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Providence Bruins: 3 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hamilton Hammers — Providence Bruins | 2.2–3.3 | |
| Hamilton Hammers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 30% | |
| Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 70% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Hamilton Hammers
- Hamilton Hammers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 01.11away · Utica Comets2:3 SO
- 31.10away · Syracuse Crunch0:7
- 30.10Hartford Wolf Pack5:4 OT
- 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:1
- 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:4
- 01.11away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms8:0
- 31.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds7:6 OT
- 25.10Utica Comets5:2
- 24.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
- 18.10away · Hershey Bears6:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
| 30 | Iowa Wild | 12 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .375 |
| 31 | Hamilton Hammers | 12 | 3 | -18 | 8 | .333 |
| 32 | Texas Stars | 10 | 2 | -13 | 6 | .300 |
AHL on the same day
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →