AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Charlotte Checkers — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Close to a coin flip: Charlotte Checkers 51%, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton 49% including overtime.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Charlotte Checkers — No. 8, 16 pts; Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — No. 14, 11 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Charlotte Checkers 4 wins, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Charlotte Checkers — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 2.8–2.7 | |
| Charlotte Checkers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
Model vs market
The model agrees with the market: no outcome differs by more than 2 points.
- Charlotte Checkers to win (regulation)Model41%odds 2.44Market43%odds 2.30
- Draw in regulationModel21%odds 4.76Market20%odds 4.89
- Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (regulation)Model38%odds 2.63Market36%odds 2.77
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Charlotte Checkers
- Charlotte Checkers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 02.11away · Iowa Wild5:4 OT
- 31.10away · Iowa Wild6:3
- 29.10away · Colorado Eagles0:3
- 28.10away · Colorado Eagles6:3
- 25.10Springfield Thunderbirds1:2
- 02.11away · Hershey Bears5:0
- 31.10away · Utica Comets3:4
- 25.10Hartford Wolf Pack3:2
- 24.10Belleville Senators3:7
- 17.10away · Cleveland Monsters6:3
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Charlotte Checkers2:5
- 11.01.2026Charlotte Checkers — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton5:1
- 10.01.2026Charlotte Checkers — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:5
- 31.12.2025Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Charlotte Checkers2:6
- 17.12.2025Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Charlotte Checkers1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Manitoba Moose | 12 | 8 | +15 | 16 | .667 |
| 8 | Charlotte Checkers | 12 | 8 | +6 | 16 | .667 |
| 9 | Colorado Eagles | 11 | 6 | +5 | 14 | .636 |
| 13 | Toronto Marlies | 11 | 6 | +1 | 13 | .591 |
| 14 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 10 | 5 | +10 | 11 | .550 |
| 15 | Rochester Americans | 10 | 5 | +8 | 11 | .550 |
AHL on the same day
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 30702The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →