AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Utica Comets — Syracuse Crunch
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Close to a coin flip: Utica Comets 52%, Syracuse Crunch 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Utica Comets — No. 3, 12 pts; Syracuse Crunch — No. 16, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Utica Comets 1 win, Syracuse Crunch 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Utica Comets — Syracuse Crunch | 2.6–2.5 | |
| Utica Comets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Syracuse Crunch to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
Model vs market
The model and the market disagree: the model rates “Syracuse Crunch to win (regulation)” at 37%, the market at 45%.
- Utica Comets to win (regulation)Model41%odds 2.44Market35%odds 2.89
- Draw in regulationModel22%odds 4.55Market21%odds 4.78
- Syracuse Crunch to win (regulation)Model37%odds 2.70Market45%odds 2.25
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Utica Comets
- Utica Comets goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 01.11Hamilton Hammers3:2 SO
- 31.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton4:3
- 25.10away · Providence Bruins2:5
- 22.10away · Rochester Americans5:3
- 18.10Laval Rocket0:4
- 31.10Hamilton Hammers7:0
- 25.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms7:2
- 24.10Rochester Americans2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Laval Rocket1:5
- 18.10away · Hamilton Hammers4:3
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Syracuse Crunch — Utica Comets5:1
- 08.03.2026Utica Comets — Syracuse Crunch1:4
- 25.01.2026Utica Comets — Syracuse Crunch5:1
- 25.01.2026Syracuse Crunch — Utica Comets6:3
- 17.01.2026Syracuse Crunch — Utica Comets5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Abbotsford Canucks | 10 | 7 | +12 | 15 | .750 |
| 3 | Utica Comets | 8 | 6 | +1 | 12 | .750 |
| 4 | Laval Rocket | 11 | 8 | +18 | 16 | .727 |
| 15 | Rochester Americans | 10 | 5 | +8 | 11 | .550 |
| 16 | Syracuse Crunch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 11 | .550 |
| 17 | San Diego Gulls | 11 | 5 | +1 | 12 | .545 |
AHL on the same day
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 30702The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →