AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Rochester Americans — Hartford Wolf Pack
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Rochester Americans are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Rochester Americans are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Rochester Americans — No. 15, 11 pts; Hartford Wolf Pack — No. 19, 13 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Rochester Americans 5 wins, Hartford Wolf Pack 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rochester Americans — Hartford Wolf Pack | 2.9–2.5 | |
| Rochester Americans to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rochester Americans
- Rochester Americans goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms6:3
- 29.10Hershey Bears2:3
- 24.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2 OT
- 22.10Utica Comets3:5
- 18.10away · Syracuse Crunch2:4
- 01.11away · Springfield Thunderbirds4:2
- 31.10away · Belleville Senators4:1
- 30.10away · Hamilton Hammers4:5 OT
- 25.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:3
- 24.10Providence Bruins2:0
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Rochester Americans — Hartford Wolf Pack6:3
- 15.11.2025Hartford Wolf Pack — Rochester Americans3:4 OT
- 26.01.2025Hartford Wolf Pack — Rochester Americans3:6
- 09.11.2024Rochester Americans — Hartford Wolf Pack6:3
- 21.03.2024Rochester Americans — Hartford Wolf Pack6:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 10 | 5 | +10 | 11 | .550 |
| 15 | Rochester Americans | 10 | 5 | +8 | 11 | .550 |
| 16 | Syracuse Crunch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 11 | .550 |
| 18 | Calgary Wranglers | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 | .500 |
| 19 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 13 | 6 | -4 | 13 | .500 |
| 20 | Belleville Senators | 12 | 5 | -4 | 12 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 30702The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →