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NHL · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Anaheim Ducks — New York Islanders

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Model prediction for 15 November

Anaheim Ducks38%
Draw in regulation23%
New York Islanders38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Anaheim Ducks 50%, New York Islanders 50% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: Anaheim Ducks — No. 23, 15 pts; New York Islanders — No. 21, 16 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Anaheim Ducks 3 wins, New York Islanders 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Anaheim Ducks — New York Islanders2.8–2.8
Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

Anaheim Ducks

  • 04.11away · Vancouver Canucks5:4
  • 02.11Ottawa Senators6:3
  • 30.10Buffalo Sabres6:7
  • 28.10Vancouver Canucks5:6 OT
  • 24.10away · Philadelphia Flyers5:4

New York Islanders

  • 31.10Edmonton Oilers0:4
  • 30.10away · Minnesota Wild4:3 OT
  • 28.10away · Nashville Predators4:3 SO
  • 26.10away · Dallas Stars3:6
  • 23.10Los Angeles Kings2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 21.10.2026New York Islanders — Anaheim Ducks3:2
  • 05.03.2026Anaheim Ducks — New York Islanders5:1
  • 12.12.2025New York Islanders — Anaheim Ducks5:2
  • 10.03.2025Anaheim Ducks — New York Islanders4:1
  • 30.10.2024New York Islanders — Anaheim Ducks1:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
20Washington Capitals1480649–48+116
21New York Islanders1472540–39+116
22St. Louis Blues1571745–45015
23Anaheim Ducks1571754–57-315
24San Jose Sharks1671842–54-1215

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →