NHL · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Washington Capitals 48%, New Jersey Devils 52% including overtime.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.9.
Facts
- League table: Washington Capitals — No. 20, 16 pts; New Jersey Devils — No. 7, 20 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Washington Capitals 3 wins, New Jersey Devils 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils | 2.9–2.9 | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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- Washington Capitals goals
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Form
- 04.11Dallas Stars5:6
- 01.11Minnesota Wild1:5
- 30.10away · Nashville Predators4:3
- 29.10Philadelphia Flyers5:2
- 25.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 OT
- 04.11Edmonton Oilers4:3 SO
- 31.10away · Vegas Golden Knights5:2
- 29.10away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 28.10away · Dallas Stars5:1
- 24.10Los Angeles Kings3:1
Head to head
- 17.10.2026Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils4:2
- 03.04.2026New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals7:3
- 21.03.2026Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils2:1
- 28.12.2025New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals3:4 OT
- 16.11.2025Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils2:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New Jersey Devils | 15 | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 14 | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 14 | 7 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Washington Capitals | 14 | 8 | +1 | 16 |
| 21 | New York Islanders | 14 | 7 | +1 | 16 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsMinnesota Wildpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Columbus Blue JacketsPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.9
- Montreal CanadiensColorado Avalanchepreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- Pittsburgh PenguinsOttawa Senatorspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- St. Louis BluesFlorida Pantherspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Tampa Bay LightningDetroit Red Wingspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- Toronto Maple LeafsEdmonton Oilerspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- Dallas StarsBuffalo Sabrespreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →