NHL · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Montreal Canadiens — Colorado Avalanche
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Colorado Avalanche are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.
Why
- Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Montreal Canadiens — No. 6, 21 pts; Colorado Avalanche — No. 10, 19 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Montreal Canadiens 3 wins, Colorado Avalanche 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens — Colorado Avalanche | 2.8–3.2 | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 62% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 38% |
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Form
- 04.11Winnipeg Jets4:5 OT
- 01.11Pittsburgh Penguins5:4
- 30.10away · Dallas Stars5:2
- 28.10away · St. Louis Blues2:0
- 26.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:1
- 04.11away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:7
- 03.11away · Chicago Blackhawks5:2
- 01.11Calgary Flames5:2
- 29.10New Jersey Devils5:2
- 26.10away · Nashville Predators2:6
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Montreal Canadiens — Colorado Avalanche7:3
- 29.11.2025Colorado Avalanche — Montreal Canadiens7:2
- 23.03.2025Montreal Canadiens — Colorado Avalanche4:5 SO
- 05.01.2025Colorado Avalanche — Montreal Canadiens1:2 SO
- 27.03.2024Colorado Avalanche — Montreal Canadiens1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 17 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New Jersey Devils | 15 | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 16 | 10 | +3 | 20 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Colorado Avalanche | 16 | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Dallas Stars | 15 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsMinnesota Wildpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Columbus Blue JacketsPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.9
- Pittsburgh PenguinsOttawa Senatorspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- St. Louis BluesFlorida Pantherspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Tampa Bay LightningDetroit Red Wingspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- Toronto Maple LeafsEdmonton Oilerspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- Washington CapitalsNew Jersey Devilspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Dallas StarsBuffalo Sabrespreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →