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NHL · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

St. Louis Blues — Florida Panthers

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Model prediction for 15 November

St. Louis Blues37%
Draw in regulation24%
Florida Panthers39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: St. Louis Blues 49%, Florida Panthers 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: St. Louis Blues — No. 22, 15 pts; Florida Panthers — No. 14, 18 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: St. Louis Blues 2 wins, Florida Panthers 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: St. Louis Blues — Florida Panthers2.6–2.7
St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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  • St. Louis Blues goals
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Form

St. Louis Blues

  • 04.11away · New York Rangers1:3
  • 31.10away · Detroit Red Wings5:4
  • 30.10Boston Bruins4:1
  • 28.10Montreal Canadiens0:2
  • 25.10Carolina Hurricanes0:4

Florida Panthers

  • 03.11Detroit Red Wings3:5
  • 31.10Winnipeg Jets5:2
  • 28.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
  • 25.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:2
  • 23.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins0:4

Head to head

  • 30.01.2026St. Louis Blues — Florida Panthers5:4
  • 21.12.2025Florida Panthers — St. Louis Blues2:6
  • 07.02.2025St. Louis Blues — Florida Panthers2:3
  • 21.12.2024Florida Panthers — St. Louis Blues2:1 OT
  • 10.01.2024St. Louis Blues — Florida Panthers1:5

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs1782762–56+618
14Florida Panthers1582547–44+318
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers1681748–47+117
21New York Islanders1472540–39+116
22St. Louis Blues1571745–45015
23Anaheim Ducks1571754–57-315

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →