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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Bakersfield Condors — Colorado Eagles

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Model prediction for 15 November

Bakersfield Condors31%
Draw in regulation21%
Colorado Eagles48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Colorado Eagles are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Colorado Eagles are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Bakersfield Condors — No. 29, 7 pts; Colorado Eagles — No. 9, 14 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Bakersfield Condors 3 wins, Colorado Eagles 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bakersfield Condors — Colorado Eagles2.5–3.0
Bakersfield Condors to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Colorado Eagles to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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Form

Bakersfield Condors

  • 02.11away · San Jose Barracuda2:3 OT
  • 31.10Abbotsford Canucks1:5
  • 25.10away · Colorado Eagles4:1
  • 24.10away · Colorado Eagles1:4
  • 18.10Calgary Wranglers3:4

Colorado Eagles

  • 02.11away · San Diego Gulls2:3 SO
  • 29.10Charlotte Checkers3:0
  • 28.10Charlotte Checkers3:6
  • 25.10Bakersfield Condors1:4
  • 24.10Bakersfield Condors4:1

Head to head

  • 25.10.2026Colorado Eagles — Bakersfield Condors1:4
  • 24.10.2026Colorado Eagles — Bakersfield Condors4:1
  • 02.04.2026Bakersfield Condors — Colorado Eagles2:5
  • 03.03.2026Bakersfield Condors — Colorado Eagles5:4 SO
  • 26.02.2026Colorado Eagles — Bakersfield Condors3:4 OT

Full record: 26 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
8Charlotte Checkers1280438–32+616.667
9Colorado Eagles1162332–27+514.636
10Henderson Silver Knights1060425–23+212.600
28San Jose Barracuda1040631–43-128.400
29Bakersfield Condors931523–28-57.389
30Iowa Wild1233629–37-89.375

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →