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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Charlotte Checkers

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Model prediction for 15 November

Lehigh Valley Phantoms26%
Draw in regulation20%
Charlotte Checkers54%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Charlotte Checkers are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Charlotte Checkers are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Lehigh Valley Phantoms — No. 25, 9 pts; Charlotte Checkers — No. 8, 16 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1 win, Charlotte Checkers 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Charlotte Checkers2.3–3.1
Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
Charlotte Checkers to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Lehigh Valley Phantoms
  • Lehigh Valley Phantoms goals
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Form

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

  • 01.11Providence Bruins0:8
  • 31.10away · Rochester Americans3:6
  • 25.10Belleville Senators2:0
  • 25.10Syracuse Crunch2:7
  • 18.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds3:2 OT

Charlotte Checkers

  • 02.11away · Iowa Wild5:4 OT
  • 31.10away · Iowa Wild6:3
  • 29.10away · Colorado Eagles0:3
  • 28.10away · Colorado Eagles6:3
  • 25.10Springfield Thunderbirds1:2

Head to head

  • 19.04.2026Charlotte Checkers — Lehigh Valley Phantoms4:1
  • 18.04.2026Charlotte Checkers — Lehigh Valley Phantoms0:2
  • 22.03.2026Charlotte Checkers — Lehigh Valley Phantoms6:2
  • 21.03.2026Charlotte Checkers — Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:1
  • 08.03.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Charlotte Checkers4:5 OT

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
7Manitoba Moose1280447–32+1516.667
8Charlotte Checkers1280438–32+616.667
9Colorado Eagles1162332–27+514.636
24Ontario Reign1150633–42-910.455
25Lehigh Valley Phantoms1041528–42-149.450
26Springfield Thunderbirds1033425–33-89.450

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →