AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Hartford Wolf Pack — Springfield Thunderbirds
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Hartford Wolf Pack 51%, Springfield Thunderbirds 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Hartford Wolf Pack — No. 19, 13 pts; Springfield Thunderbirds — No. 26, 9 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Hartford Wolf Pack 3 wins, Springfield Thunderbirds 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hartford Wolf Pack — Springfield Thunderbirds | 2.6–2.6 | |
| Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Springfield Thunderbirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Hartford Wolf Pack
- Hartford Wolf Pack goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Springfield Thunderbirds4:2
- 31.10away · Belleville Senators4:1
- 30.10away · Hamilton Hammers4:5 OT
- 25.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:3
- 24.10Providence Bruins2:0
- 01.11Hartford Wolf Pack2:4
- 31.10Providence Bruins6:7 OT
- 25.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:1
- 24.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:3
- 18.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:3 OT
Head to head
- 01.11.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack2:4
- 19.04.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack4:3
- 18.04.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Springfield Thunderbirds7:5
- 12.04.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack1:3
- 01.02.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Calgary Wranglers | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 | .500 |
| 19 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 13 | 6 | -4 | 13 | .500 |
| 20 | Belleville Senators | 12 | 5 | -4 | 12 | .500 |
| 25 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 10 | 4 | -14 | 9 | .450 |
| 26 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 10 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .450 |
| 27 | Rockford IceHogs | 10 | 4 | -8 | 8 | .400 |
AHL on the same day
- Belleville SenatorsCleveland Monsterspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Rochester AmericansLaval Rocketpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- Utica CometsSyracuse Crunchpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonHamilton Hammerspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Iowa WildGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Milwaukee AdmiralsChicago Wolvespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Rockford IceHogsManitoba Moosepreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →