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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Rochester Americans — Laval Rocket

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Model prediction for 15 November

Rochester Americans33%
Draw in regulation22%
Laval Rocket45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Laval Rocket are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Laval Rocket are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Rochester Americans — No. 15, 11 pts; Laval Rocket — No. 4, 16 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Rochester Americans 0 wins, Laval Rocket 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rochester Americans — Laval Rocket2.4–2.8
Rochester Americans to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Laval Rocket to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Rochester Americans goals
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Form

Rochester Americans

  • 31.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms6:3
  • 29.10Hershey Bears2:3
  • 24.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2 OT
  • 22.10Utica Comets3:5
  • 18.10away · Syracuse Crunch2:4

Laval Rocket

  • 31.10away · Calgary Wranglers2:1
  • 30.10away · Calgary Wranglers2:4
  • 24.10Hamilton Hammers1:2
  • 24.10Hamilton Hammers4:2
  • 22.10Syracuse Crunch5:1

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Laval Rocket — Rochester Americans4:3 SO
  • 07.03.2026Laval Rocket — Rochester Americans4:2
  • 28.02.2026Rochester Americans — Laval Rocket3:9
  • 21.02.2026Rochester Americans — Laval Rocket2:3 OT
  • 10.01.2026Rochester Americans — Laval Rocket2:3

Full record: 29 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
3Utica Comets860222–21+112.750
4Laval Rocket1180339–21+1816.727
5Tucson Roadrunners1172237–25+1216.727
14Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1051439–29+1011.550
15Rochester Americans1051433–25+811.550
16Syracuse Crunch1051431–31011.550

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →