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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Utica Comets — Syracuse Crunch

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Model prediction for 15 November

Utica Comets41%
Draw in regulation22%
Syracuse Crunch37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Utica Comets 52%, Syracuse Crunch 48% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Utica Comets — No. 3, 12 pts; Syracuse Crunch — No. 16, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Utica Comets 1 win, Syracuse Crunch 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Utica Comets — Syracuse Crunch2.6–2.5
Utica Comets to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Syracuse Crunch to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Utica Comets
  • Utica Comets goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Utica Comets

  • 01.11Hamilton Hammers3:2 SO
  • 31.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton4:3
  • 25.10away · Providence Bruins2:5
  • 22.10away · Rochester Americans5:3
  • 18.10Laval Rocket0:4

Syracuse Crunch

  • 31.10Hamilton Hammers7:0
  • 25.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms7:2
  • 24.10Rochester Americans2:3 OT
  • 22.10away · Laval Rocket1:5
  • 18.10away · Hamilton Hammers4:3

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026Syracuse Crunch — Utica Comets5:1
  • 08.03.2026Utica Comets — Syracuse Crunch1:4
  • 25.01.2026Utica Comets — Syracuse Crunch5:1
  • 25.01.2026Syracuse Crunch — Utica Comets6:3
  • 17.01.2026Syracuse Crunch — Utica Comets5:2

Full record: 40 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
2Abbotsford Canucks1071240–28+1215.750
3Utica Comets860222–21+112.750
4Laval Rocket1180339–21+1816.727
15Rochester Americans1051433–25+811.550
16Syracuse Crunch1051431–31011.550
17San Diego Gulls1152430–29+112.545

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →