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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Iowa Wild — Grand Rapids Griffins

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Model prediction for 15 November

Iowa Wild28%
Draw in regulation21%
Grand Rapids Griffins50%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Grand Rapids Griffins are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Iowa Wild — No. 30, 9 pts; Grand Rapids Griffins — No. 1, 18 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Iowa Wild: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Iowa Wild 1 win, Grand Rapids Griffins 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Iowa Wild — Grand Rapids Griffins2.3–2.9
Iowa Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Iowa Wild goals
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Form

Iowa Wild

  • 02.11Charlotte Checkers4:5 OT
  • 31.10Charlotte Checkers3:6
  • 25.10Manitoba Moose0:2
  • 24.10Manitoba Moose3:4
  • 22.10Milwaukee Admirals2:3

Grand Rapids Griffins

  • 02.11away · Chicago Wolves5:1
  • 25.10Cleveland Monsters5:2
  • 24.10Cleveland Monsters2:3 SO
  • 22.10Manitoba Moose4:3
  • 18.10Rockford IceHogs5:1

Head to head

  • 16.04.2026Iowa Wild — Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
  • 01.03.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Iowa Wild6:2
  • 28.02.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Iowa Wild2:3
  • 20.12.2025Iowa Wild — Grand Rapids Griffins2:6
  • 18.12.2025Iowa Wild — Grand Rapids Griffins2:5

Full record: 24 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
1Grand Rapids Griffins1182142–25+1718.818
2Abbotsford Canucks1071240–28+1215.750
29Bakersfield Condors931523–28-57.389
30Iowa Wild1233629–37-89.375
31Hamilton Hammers1232730–48-188.333

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →