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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hamilton Hammers

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 15 November

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57%
Draw in regulation19%
Hamilton Hammers23%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — No. 14, 11 pts; Hamilton Hammers — No. 31, 8 pts. A gap of 3 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hamilton Hammers3.4–2.3
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Hamilton Hammers to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Wilkes-Barre/Scranton
  • Wilkes-Barre/Scranton goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

  • 02.11away · Hershey Bears5:0
  • 31.10away · Utica Comets3:4
  • 25.10Hartford Wolf Pack3:2
  • 24.10Belleville Senators3:7
  • 17.10away · Cleveland Monsters6:3

Hamilton Hammers

  • 01.11away · Utica Comets2:3 SO
  • 31.10away · Syracuse Crunch0:7
  • 30.10Hartford Wolf Pack5:4 OT
  • 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:1
  • 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:4

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
13Toronto Marlies1161435–34+113.591
14Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1051439–29+1011.550
15Rochester Americans1051433–25+811.550
30Iowa Wild1233629–37-89.375
31Hamilton Hammers1232730–48-188.333
32Texas Stars1022630–43-136.300

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →