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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Bars — Dyn. Altay

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Model prediction for 19 November

Bars46%
Draw in regulation24%
Dyn. Altay31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bars are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.

Why

  • Bars are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Bars — No. 21, 19 pts; Dyn. Altay — No. 23, 16 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Bars: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Bars 4 wins, Dyn. Altay 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bars — Dyn. Altay2.3–1.9
Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Dyn. Altay to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)28%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)72%

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Form

Bars

  • 02.11away · AKM0:3
  • 31.10away · Ryazan1:2
  • 25.10Almetyevsk0:2
  • 23.10CSK VVS3:2
  • 16.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:4

Dyn. Altay

  • 31.10away · Gornyak2:3
  • 29.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk1:3
  • 27.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:2
  • 25.10away · Orsk4:3 OT
  • 19.10Perm1:5

Head to head

  • 29.12.2025Bars — Dyn. Altay1:3
  • 30.11.2025Dyn. Altay — Bars2:3
  • 23.12.2024Dyn. Altay — Bars2:3 OT
  • 29.11.2024Bars — Dyn. Altay4:3
  • 13.12.2023Bars — Dyn. Altay3:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
20Rubin Tyumen1983843–53-1019
21Bars20911043–59-1619
22Magnitka Magnitogorsk1756631–36-516
23Dyn. Altay19721037–51-1416
24Krasnoyarsk20801237–51-1416

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →