VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Dizel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dizel are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 10 pts; Dizel — No. 25, 15 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Dizel: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 4 wins, Dizel 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Dizel | 2.3–2.4 | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chelmet Chelyabinsk
- Chelmet Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11away · Omskie Krylia1:2
- 29.10Dyn. Altay3:1
- 27.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk1:3
- 25.10Krasnoyarsk2:3
- 23.10HC Norilsk1:2
- 01.11Olympia4:5 SO
- 23.10Tambov1:2
- 21.10Buran Voronezh0:4
- 17.10away · HC Yugra0:3
- 15.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:2 OT
Head to head
- 02.03.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Dizel6:4
- 20.09.2025Dizel — Chelmet Chelyabinsk6:1
- 19.02.2025Dizel — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:3
- 04.10.2024Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Dizel4:2
- 26.11.2023Dizel — Chelmet Chelyabinsk1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Krasnoyarsk | 20 | 8 | -14 | 16 |
| 25 | Dizel | 18 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 26 | Zvezda Moscow | 18 | 7 | -14 | 15 |
| 29 | CSK VVS | 18 | 4 | -27 | 10 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 18 | 4 | -33 | 10 |
VHL on the same day
- Magnitka MagnitogorskKristall Saratovpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.4
- GornyakTambovpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- AlmetyevskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- BarsDyn. Altaypreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
- Zvezda MoscowHC Yugrapreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.3
- Dinamo St. PetersburgRubin Tyumenpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →