VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Kurgan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.
Why
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.5.
Facts
- League table: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — No. 10, 25 pts; Kurgan — No. 27, 14 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 2 wins, Kurgan 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Kurgan | 2.7–1.5 | |
| SKA-VMF St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 73% | |
| Kurgan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 27% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 28% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 72% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 28.10Kaluga2:0
- 26.10AKM5:0
- 24.10Ryazan4:0
- 16.10away · Bars4:0
- 14.10away · Almetyevsk1:2 SO
- 01.11Orsk4:3 OT
- 26.10away · Perm1:3
- 24.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:4
- 22.10away · Izhevsk4:2
- 20.10away · Olympia1:3
Head to head
- 27.02.2026Kurgan — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:2
- 19.09.2025SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Kurgan2:3 OT
- 10.01.2025Kurgan — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg3:2
- 09.11.2024SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Kurgan3:6
- 10.01.2024Kurgan — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs | Kaluga | 20 | 11 | +9 | 26 |
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 17 | 12 | +25 | 25 |
| 11, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 18 | 11 | +6 | 24 |
| 26 | Zvezda Moscow | 18 | 7 | -14 | 15 |
| 27 | Kurgan | 18 | 5 | -18 | 14 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 20 | 5 | -20 | 12 |
VHL on the same day
- Magnitka MagnitogorskKristall Saratovpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.4
- Chelmet ChelyabinskDizelpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- GornyakTambovpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- AlmetyevskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- BarsDyn. Altaypreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
- Zvezda MoscowHC Yugrapreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.3
- Dinamo St. PetersburgRubin Tyumenpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →