VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Gornyak — Tambov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gornyak are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- Gornyak are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Gornyak — No. 18, 20 pts; Tambov — No. 15, 22 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Gornyak 4 wins, Tambov 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gornyak — Tambov | 2.8–2.2 | |
| Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Gornyak
- Gornyak goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 31.10Dyn. Altay3:2
- 29.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:4 SO
- 27.10Krasnoyarsk0:3
- 25.10HC Norilsk0:2
- 18.10away · Kaluga3:1
- 03.11Izhevsk5:1
- 30.10Olympia4:2
- 25.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
- 23.10away · Dizel2:1
- 15.10away · HC Yugra1:6
Head to head
- 20.01.2026Gornyak — Tambov5:2
- 29.10.2025Tambov — Gornyak1:5
- 16.01.2025Gornyak — Tambov3:4 OT
- 04.11.2024Tambov — Gornyak3:4 SO
- 10.12.2023Gornyak — Tambov5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 18 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 15, Playoffs | Tambov | 18 | 10 | +1 | 22 |
| 16, Playoffs | Ryazan | 22 | 9 | -6 | 22 |
| 17 | Olympia | 22 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Gornyak | 17 | 9 | +3 | 20 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 18 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
VHL on the same day
- Magnitka MagnitogorskKristall Saratovpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.4
- Chelmet ChelyabinskDizelpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- AlmetyevskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- BarsDyn. Altaypreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
- Zvezda MoscowHC Yugrapreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.3
- Dinamo St. PetersburgRubin Tyumenpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →