VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Zvezda Moscow — HC Yugra
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
HC Yugra are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 30%.
Why
- HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.7.
Facts
- League table: Zvezda Moscow — No. 26, 15 pts; HC Yugra — No. 12, 23 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Zvezda Moscow 1 win, HC Yugra 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zvezda Moscow — HC Yugra | 1.7–2.5 | |
| Zvezda Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 32% | |
| HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 68% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 30% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 70% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Zvezda Moscow
- Zvezda Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · HC Norilsk2:5
- 24.10Kaluga3:2 OT
- 22.10AKM4:3 OT
- 20.10Ryazan2:3
- 12.10away · Bars2:5
- 30.10away · Perm2:3 SO
- 28.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:5
- 26.10away · Izhevsk5:4
- 24.10away · Olympia4:0
- 19.10Kristall Saratov3:1
Head to head
- 21.01.2026Zvezda Moscow — HC Yugra0:1
- 23.10.2025HC Yugra — Zvezda Moscow2:1
- 08.01.2025HC Yugra — Zvezda Moscow4:1
- 11.11.2024Zvezda Moscow — HC Yugra3:2 SO
- 09.12.2023Zvezda Moscow — HC Yugra3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 18 | 11 | +6 | 24 |
| 12, Playoffs | HC Yugra | 19 | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs | Toros Neftekamsk | 19 | 10 | +4 | 23 |
| 25 | Dizel | 18 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 26 | Zvezda Moscow | 18 | 7 | -14 | 15 |
| 27 | Kurgan | 18 | 5 | -18 | 14 |
VHL on the same day
- Magnitka MagnitogorskKristall Saratovpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.4
- Chelmet ChelyabinskDizelpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- GornyakTambovpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- AlmetyevskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- BarsDyn. Altaypreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
- Dinamo St. PetersburgRubin Tyumenpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →