Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Kristall Saratov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Magnitka Magnitogorsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Magnitka Magnitogorsk — No. 22, 16 pts; Kristall Saratov — No. 14, 23 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Magnitka Magnitogorsk 3 wins, Kristall Saratov 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Kristall Saratov | 2.5–2.0 | |
| Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Magnitka Magnitogorsk
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 02.11away · Omskie Krylia0:1
- 27.10Dyn. Altay2:3
- 25.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:3
- 23.10Krasnoyarsk2:3 SO
- 21.10HC Norilsk2:3 OT
- 03.11Olympia2:3
- 25.10Tambov3:2
- 23.10Buran Voronezh4:2
- 19.10away · HC Yugra1:3
- 17.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:1
Head to head
- 06.03.2026Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Kristall Saratov3:4 OT
- 20.09.2025Kristall Saratov — Magnitka Magnitogorsk0:1 OT
- 25.02.2025Kristall Saratov — Magnitka Magnitogorsk1:4
- 26.09.2024Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Kristall Saratov1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Playoffs | Toros Neftekamsk | 19 | 10 | +4 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 18 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 15, Playoffs | Tambov | 18 | 10 | +1 | 22 |
| 21 | Bars | 20 | 9 | -16 | 19 |
| 22 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 17 | 5 | -5 | 16 |
| 23 | Dyn. Altay | 19 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskDizelpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- GornyakTambovpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- AlmetyevskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- BarsDyn. Altaypreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
- Zvezda MoscowHC Yugrapreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.3
- Dinamo St. PetersburgRubin Tyumenpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →