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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Kristall Saratov

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Model prediction for 19 November

Magnitka Magnitogorsk47%
Draw in regulation23%
Kristall Saratov30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Magnitka Magnitogorsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • Magnitka Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Magnitka Magnitogorsk — No. 22, 16 pts; Kristall Saratov — No. 14, 23 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Magnitka Magnitogorsk: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Magnitka Magnitogorsk 3 wins, Kristall Saratov 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Kristall Saratov2.5–2.0
Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Magnitka Magnitogorsk
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Form

Magnitka Magnitogorsk

  • 02.11away · Omskie Krylia0:1
  • 27.10Dyn. Altay2:3
  • 25.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:3
  • 23.10Krasnoyarsk2:3 SO
  • 21.10HC Norilsk2:3 OT

Kristall Saratov

  • 03.11Olympia2:3
  • 25.10Tambov3:2
  • 23.10Buran Voronezh4:2
  • 19.10away · HC Yugra1:3
  • 17.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:1

Head to head

  • 06.03.2026Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Kristall Saratov3:4 OT
  • 20.09.2025Kristall Saratov — Magnitka Magnitogorsk0:1 OT
  • 25.02.2025Kristall Saratov — Magnitka Magnitogorsk1:4
  • 26.09.2024Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Kristall Saratov1:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, PlayoffsToros Neftekamsk19103647–43+423
14, PlayoffsKristall Saratov18111647–54-723
15, PlayoffsTambov18102648–47+122
21Bars20911043–59-1619
22Magnitka Magnitogorsk1756631–36-516
23Dyn. Altay19721037–51-1416

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →