AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Manitoba Moose — Toronto Marlies
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Close to a coin flip: Manitoba Moose 49%, Toronto Marlies 51% including overtime.
5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Manitoba Moose — No. 7, 16 pts; Toronto Marlies — No. 13, 13 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Manitoba Moose 3 wins, Toronto Marlies 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Manitoba Moose — Toronto Marlies | 2.8–2.8 | |
| Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Toronto Marlies to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Manitoba Moose
- Manitoba Moose goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10away · Rockford IceHogs6:3
- 29.10away · Milwaukee Admirals0:3
- 27.10away · Chicago Wolves3:6
- 25.10away · Iowa Wild2:0
- 24.10away · Iowa Wild4:3
- 01.11away · Belleville Senators1:4
- 31.10Hershey Bears5:3
- 25.10Rockford IceHogs0:3
- 24.10Rockford IceHogs2:3 OT
- 22.10Hamilton Hammers4:1
Head to head
- 01.04.2026Toronto Marlies — Manitoba Moose1:5
- 26.03.2026Toronto Marlies — Manitoba Moose4:1
- 08.03.2026Manitoba Moose — Toronto Marlies1:0
- 07.03.2026Manitoba Moose — Toronto Marlies3:2
- 02.03.2025Toronto Marlies — Manitoba Moose2:1 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Milwaukee Admirals | 10 | 7 | +6 | 14 | .700 |
| 7 | Manitoba Moose | 12 | 8 | +15 | 16 | .667 |
| 8 | Charlotte Checkers | 12 | 8 | +6 | 16 | .667 |
| 12 | Hershey Bears | 10 | 6 | -2 | 12 | .600 |
| 13 | Toronto Marlies | 11 | 6 | +1 | 13 | .591 |
| 14 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 10 | 5 | +10 | 11 | .550 |
AHL on the same day
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 30702The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →