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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Brynas — Lulea

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Model prediction for 19 November

Brynas49%
Draw in regulation22%
Lulea28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Brynas are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Brynas are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Brynas — No. 11, 15 pts; Lulea — No. 7, 20 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Brynas: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Brynas 3 wins, Lulea 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brynas — Lulea2.7–2.1
Brynas to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Lulea to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Brynas
  • Brynas goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Brynas

  • 31.10away · Djurgarden2:3
  • 29.10Farjestad4:5
  • 24.10Rogle4:5 OT
  • 22.10away · Orebro2:3
  • 17.10Vaxjo2:3

Lulea

  • 31.10away · Timra3:2 SO
  • 29.10IF Bjorkloven4:0
  • 24.10Djurgarden2:3 OT
  • 22.10away · Vaxjo1:2
  • 17.10HV 715:2

Head to head

  • 26.09.2026Brynas — Lulea4:2
  • 21.02.2026Lulea — Brynas4:3 SO
  • 03.01.2026Brynas — Lulea4:2
  • 15.11.2025Lulea — Brynas0:3
  • 16.09.2025Brynas — Lulea5:7

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsOrebro14612533–41-822
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea14513536–37-120
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDjurgarden15432633–41-820
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven14510829–46-1717
11Brynas14411840–39+115
12Vaxjo14411833–47-1415

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • DjurgardenSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 219%Model's score: 1:35.2
  • FarjestadFrolundapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • LinkopingHV 71preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
  • MalmoRoglepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
  • TimraOrebropreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • VaxjoIF Bjorklovenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →