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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Djurgarden — Skelleftea

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Model prediction for 19 November

Djurgarden21%
Draw in regulation19%
Skelleftea60%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Skelleftea are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • Skelleftea are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Djurgarden — No. 8, 20 pts; Skelleftea — No. 2, 31 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Djurgarden: 3 wins in a row; Skelleftea: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Djurgarden 2 wins, Skelleftea 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Djurgarden — Skelleftea2.0–3.2
Djurgarden to win (incl. OT and shootout)28%
Skelleftea to win (incl. OT and shootout)72%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Djurgarden
  • Djurgarden goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Djurgarden

  • 31.10Brynas3:2
  • 29.10HV 713:0
  • 24.10away · Lulea3:2 OT
  • 22.10away · Skelleftea1:4
  • 20.10away · Frolunda2:6

Skelleftea

  • 31.10IF Bjorkloven5:3
  • 29.10Linkoping3:1
  • 24.10away · IF Bjorkloven8:1
  • 22.10Djurgarden4:1
  • 17.10away · Frolunda2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 22.10.2026Skelleftea — Djurgarden4:1
  • 14.03.2026Djurgarden — Skelleftea2:3
  • 28.12.2025Skelleftea — Djurgarden2:3 SO
  • 15.11.2025Skelleftea — Djurgarden4:0
  • 13.09.2025Djurgarden — Skelleftea5:4

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFarjestad141211058–17+4139
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea14912252–31+2131
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda16920555–39+1631
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea14513536–37-120
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDjurgarden15432633–41-820
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTimra14431627–31-419

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasLuleapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • FarjestadFrolundapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • LinkopingHV 71preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
  • MalmoRoglepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
  • TimraOrebropreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • VaxjoIF Bjorklovenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →