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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Timra — Orebro

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Model prediction for 19 November

Timra50%
Draw in regulation22%
Orebro28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Timra are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

  • Timra are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Timra — No. 9, 19 pts; Orebro — No. 6, 22 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Timra 1 win, Orebro 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Timra — Orebro2.7–2.0
Timra to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Orebro to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)61%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Timra
  • Timra goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Timra

  • 31.10Lulea2:3 SO
  • 29.10Vaxjo3:0
  • 24.10away · Malmo2:1
  • 22.10Farjestad0:4
  • 17.10IF Bjorkloven3:0

Orebro

  • 31.10Rogle3:2 OT
  • 29.10Frolunda3:2
  • 24.10away · Linkoping4:6
  • 22.10Brynas3:2
  • 17.10away · Rogle2:1

Head to head

  • 22.09.2026Timra — Orebro1:5
  • 10.03.2026Orebro — Timra5:4
  • 06.01.2026Timra — Orebro5:2
  • 25.10.2025Timra — Orebro1:3
  • 09.10.2025Orebro — Timra5:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle15621639–36+323
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsOrebro14612533–41-822
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea14513536–37-120
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDjurgarden15432633–41-820
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTimra14431627–31-419
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven14510829–46-1717

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasLuleapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • DjurgardenSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 219%Model's score: 1:35.2
  • FarjestadFrolundapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • LinkopingHV 71preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
  • MalmoRoglepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
  • VaxjoIF Bjorklovenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →