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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Vaxjo — IF Bjorkloven

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Model prediction for 19 November

Vaxjo54%
Draw in regulation21%
IF Bjorkloven25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Vaxjo are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • Vaxjo are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Vaxjo — No. 12, 15 pts; IF Bjorkloven — No. 10, 17 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Vaxjo: 3 defeats in a row; IF Bjorkloven: 5 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vaxjo — IF Bjorkloven2.9–2.0
Vaxjo to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
IF Bjorkloven to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vaxjo
  • Vaxjo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Vaxjo

  • 31.10Farjestad1:5
  • 29.10away · Timra0:3
  • 24.10away · Farjestad1:4
  • 22.10Lulea2:1
  • 17.10away · Brynas3:2

IF Bjorkloven

  • 31.10away · Skelleftea3:5
  • 29.10away · Lulea0:4
  • 24.10Skelleftea1:8
  • 22.10Malmo2:4
  • 17.10away · Timra0:3

Head to head

  • 01.10.2026IF Bjorkloven — Vaxjo4:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTimra14431627–31-419
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven14510829–46-1717
11Brynas14411840–39+115
12Vaxjo14411833–47-1415
13, Relegation play-offLinkoping14311927–51-2412

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasLuleapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • DjurgardenSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 219%Model's score: 1:35.2
  • FarjestadFrolundapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • LinkopingHV 71preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
  • MalmoRoglepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
  • TimraOrebropreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →