PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Malmo — Rogle

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 19 November

Malmo39%
Draw in regulation22%
Rogle39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Malmo 50%, Rogle 50% including overtime.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Malmo — No. 4, 25 pts; Rogle — No. 5, 23 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Malmo: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Malmo 2 wins, Rogle 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Malmo — Rogle2.6–2.6
Malmo to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Rogle to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Malmo
  • Malmo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Malmo

  • 31.10HV 713:2 OT
  • 29.10away · Rogle3:0
  • 27.10Linkoping8:2
  • 24.10Timra1:2
  • 22.10away · IF Bjorkloven4:2

Rogle

  • 31.10away · Orebro2:3 OT
  • 29.10Malmo0:3
  • 27.10away · Frolunda5:4
  • 24.10away · Brynas5:4 OT
  • 22.10Frolunda4:1

Head to head

  • 29.10.2026Rogle — Malmo0:3
  • 05.02.2026Malmo — Rogle1:4
  • 17.01.2026Rogle — Malmo4:6
  • 23.10.2025Rogle — Malmo5:3
  • 16.10.2025Malmo — Rogle2:3

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda16920555–39+1631
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMalmo14623345–33+1225
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle15621639–36+323
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsOrebro14612533–41-822

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasLuleapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • DjurgardenSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 219%Model's score: 1:35.2
  • FarjestadFrolundapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • LinkopingHV 71preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
  • TimraOrebropreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • VaxjoIF Bjorklovenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →