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NHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Calgary Flames — Minnesota Wild

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Model prediction for 20 November

Calgary Flames28%
Draw in regulation23%
Minnesota Wild49%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minnesota Wild are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Minnesota Wild are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Calgary Flames — No. 25, 14 pts; Minnesota Wild — No. 3, 25 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Calgary Flames 3 wins, Minnesota Wild 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Calgary Flames — Minnesota Wild2.4–3.0
Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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Form

Calgary Flames

  • 03.11away · San Jose Sharks2:1
  • 01.11away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
  • 31.10Seattle Kraken6:2
  • 29.10away · Edmonton Oilers0:4
  • 27.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:2

Minnesota Wild

  • 04.11away · Philadelphia Flyers4:2
  • 01.11away · Washington Capitals5:1
  • 30.10New York Islanders3:4 OT
  • 28.10away · Utah Mammoth3:1
  • 26.10away · Vancouver Canucks4:2

Head to head

  • 23.10.2026Calgary Flames — Minnesota Wild2:1
  • 30.01.2026Minnesota Wild — Calgary Flames4:1
  • 05.12.2025Calgary Flames — Minnesota Wild4:1
  • 10.11.2025Minnesota Wild — Calgary Flames2:0
  • 12.04.2025Calgary Flames — Minnesota Wild4:2

Full record: 19 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers16113267–48+1925
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild17113356–38+1825
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins16111458–38+2023
24San Jose Sharks1671842–54-1215
25Calgary Flames1570838–53-1514
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →