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NHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Winnipeg Jets — New York Islanders

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Model prediction for 20 November

Winnipeg Jets37%
Draw in regulation24%
New York Islanders39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Winnipeg Jets 49%, New York Islanders 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Winnipeg Jets — No. 26, 13 pts; New York Islanders — No. 21, 16 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Winnipeg Jets 3 wins, New York Islanders 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — New York Islanders2.5–2.6
Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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Form

Winnipeg Jets

  • 04.11away · Montreal Canadiens5:4 OT
  • 01.11away · Carolina Hurricanes0:7
  • 31.10away · Florida Panthers2:5
  • 30.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning4:6
  • 28.10Florida Panthers1:5

New York Islanders

  • 31.10Edmonton Oilers0:4
  • 30.10away · Minnesota Wild4:3 OT
  • 28.10away · Nashville Predators4:3 SO
  • 26.10away · Dallas Stars3:6
  • 23.10Los Angeles Kings2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 14.01.2026Winnipeg Jets — New York Islanders5:4
  • 13.10.2025New York Islanders — Winnipeg Jets2:5
  • 05.03.2025New York Islanders — Winnipeg Jets3:2
  • 08.02.2025Winnipeg Jets — New York Islanders4:3
  • 23.03.2024New York Islanders — Winnipeg Jets6:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
20Washington Capitals1480649–48+116
21New York Islanders1472540–39+116
22St. Louis Blues1571745–45015
25Calgary Flames1570838–53-1514
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913
27Pittsburgh Penguins1552849–52-312

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →