NHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Washington Capitals — Buffalo Sabres
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Washington Capitals are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Washington Capitals — No. 20, 16 pts; Buffalo Sabres — No. 19, 17 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Buffalo Sabres: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Washington Capitals 3 wins, Buffalo Sabres 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Washington Capitals — Buffalo Sabres | 3.0–2.8 | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Washington Capitals
- Washington Capitals goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11Dallas Stars5:6
- 01.11Minnesota Wild1:5
- 30.10away · Nashville Predators4:3
- 29.10Philadelphia Flyers5:2
- 25.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 OT
- 31.10away · Los Angeles Kings3:2
- 30.10away · Anaheim Ducks7:6
- 28.10away · San Jose Sharks2:0
- 25.10away · Washington Capitals3:4 OT
- 22.10Philadelphia Flyers1:3
Head to head
- 25.10.2026Washington Capitals — Buffalo Sabres4:3 OT
- 05.04.2026Washington Capitals — Buffalo Sabres6:2
- 13.03.2026Buffalo Sabres — Washington Capitals1:2
- 02.11.2025Buffalo Sabres — Washington Capitals4:3 SO
- 30.03.2025Washington Capitals — Buffalo Sabres5:8
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Nashville Predators | 15 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 14 | 7 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Washington Capitals | 14 | 8 | +1 | 16 |
| 21 | New York Islanders | 14 | 7 | +1 | 16 |
NHL on the same day
- Carolina HurricanesMontreal Canadienspreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 5:26.0
- Ottawa SenatorsPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Pittsburgh PenguinsSt. Louis Bluespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Toronto Maple LeafsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Winnipeg JetsNew York Islanderspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Tampa Bay LightningEdmonton Oilerspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Calgary FlamesMinnesota Wildpreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Chicago BlackhawksColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →