NHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Toronto Maple Leafs — Los Angeles Kings
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Toronto Maple Leafs 51%, Los Angeles Kings 49% including overtime.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Toronto Maple Leafs — No. 13, 18 pts; Los Angeles Kings — No. 30, 10 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Toronto Maple Leafs 3 wins, Los Angeles Kings 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs — Los Angeles Kings | 2.9–2.8 | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Toronto Maple Leafs
- Toronto Maple Leafs goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.11Utah Mammoth2:3
- 01.11away · Vancouver Canucks4:2
- 29.10away · Seattle Kraken4:5
- 27.10away · Calgary Flames2:5
- 25.10away · Edmonton Oilers7:2
- 31.10Buffalo Sabres2:3
- 30.10Ottawa Senators6:5 OT
- 28.10away · Chicago Blackhawks1:2
- 27.10away · New York Rangers6:3
- 24.10away · New Jersey Devils1:3
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Los Angeles Kings — Toronto Maple Leafs7:6 OT
- 14.11.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — Los Angeles Kings3:4 OT
- 30.03.2025Los Angeles Kings — Toronto Maple Leafs1:3
- 17.10.2024Toronto Maple Leafs — Los Angeles Kings6:2
- 03.01.2024Los Angeles Kings — Toronto Maple Leafs0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 15 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 29 | Philadelphia Flyers | 17 | 4 | -21 | 12 |
| 30 | Los Angeles Kings | 13 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 31 | Chicago Blackhawks | 15 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
NHL on the same day
- Carolina HurricanesMontreal Canadienspreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 5:26.0
- Ottawa SenatorsPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Pittsburgh PenguinsSt. Louis Bluespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Washington CapitalsBuffalo Sabrespreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Winnipeg JetsNew York Islanderspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Tampa Bay LightningEdmonton Oilerspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Calgary FlamesMinnesota Wildpreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Chicago BlackhawksColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →