NHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Ottawa Senators — Philadelphia Flyers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ottawa Senators are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Ottawa Senators — No. 12, 19 pts; Philadelphia Flyers — No. 29, 12 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Ottawa Senators 4 wins, Philadelphia Flyers 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ottawa Senators — Philadelphia Flyers | 2.7–2.2 | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ottawa Senators
- Ottawa Senators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11away · Anaheim Ducks3:6
- 31.10away · San Jose Sharks5:1
- 30.10away · Los Angeles Kings5:6 OT
- 28.10away · Vegas Golden Knights1:4
- 25.10New York Rangers7:4
- 04.11Minnesota Wild2:4
- 02.11Utah Mammoth6:3
- 29.10away · Washington Capitals2:5
- 28.10Columbus Blue Jackets3:4 OT
- 24.10Anaheim Ducks4:5
Head to head
- 18.10.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Ottawa Senators3:1
- 09.10.2026Ottawa Senators — Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 06.02.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Ottawa Senators1:2 OT
- 08.11.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Ottawa Senators2:3 OT
- 24.10.2025Ottawa Senators — Philadelphia Flyers2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Dallas Stars | 15 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 28 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 13 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 29 | Philadelphia Flyers | 17 | 4 | -21 | 12 |
| 30 | Los Angeles Kings | 13 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
NHL on the same day
- Carolina HurricanesMontreal Canadienspreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 5:26.0
- Pittsburgh PenguinsSt. Louis Bluespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Toronto Maple LeafsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Washington CapitalsBuffalo Sabrespreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Winnipeg JetsNew York Islanderspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Tampa Bay LightningEdmonton Oilerspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Calgary FlamesMinnesota Wildpreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Chicago BlackhawksColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →