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NHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Pittsburgh Penguins — St. Louis Blues

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Model prediction for 20 November

Pittsburgh Penguins43%
Draw in regulation23%
St. Louis Blues34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pittsburgh Penguins are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Pittsburgh Penguins are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Pittsburgh Penguins — No. 27, 12 pts; St. Louis Blues — No. 22, 15 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Pittsburgh Penguins 3 wins, St. Louis Blues 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pittsburgh Penguins — St. Louis Blues3.0–2.7
Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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Form

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • 04.11Vegas Golden Knights2:3
  • 01.11away · Montreal Canadiens4:5
  • 30.10Utah Mammoth3:4 OT
  • 25.10Nashville Predators3:2 OT
  • 23.10Florida Panthers4:0

St. Louis Blues

  • 04.11away · New York Rangers1:3
  • 31.10away · Detroit Red Wings5:4
  • 30.10Boston Bruins4:1
  • 28.10Montreal Canadiens0:2
  • 25.10Carolina Hurricanes0:4

Head to head

  • 15.04.2026St. Louis Blues — Pittsburgh Penguins7:5
  • 28.10.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — St. Louis Blues6:3
  • 04.04.2025St. Louis Blues — Pittsburgh Penguins5:4 OT
  • 14.03.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — St. Louis Blues5:3
  • 31.12.2023Pittsburgh Penguins — St. Louis Blues4:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
21New York Islanders1472540–39+116
22St. Louis Blues1571745–45015
23Anaheim Ducks1571754–57-315
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913
27Pittsburgh Penguins1552849–52-312
28Columbus Blue Jackets1360736–41-512

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →