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NHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

Columbus Blue Jackets — Dallas Stars

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Model prediction for 6 November

Columbus Blue Jackets34%
Draw in regulation23%
Dallas Stars42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dallas Stars are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: Columbus Blue Jackets — No. 29, 4 pts; Dallas Stars — No. 21, 7 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Columbus Blue Jackets 3 wins, Dallas Stars 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Columbus Blue Jackets — Dallas Stars2.6–2.8
Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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Form

Columbus Blue Jackets

  • 14.10Florida Panthers3:7
  • 11.10away · St. Louis Blues3:5
  • 10.10Pittsburgh Penguins3:2 SO
  • 04.10Utah Mammoth1:4
  • 02.10Buffalo Sabres6:3

Dallas Stars

  • 15.10away · Colorado Avalanche3:2 SO
  • 14.10Colorado Avalanche2:3
  • 11.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins1:2 SO
  • 09.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:0
  • 06.10San Jose Sharks5:0

Head to head

  • 23.01.2026Columbus Blue Jackets — Dallas Stars1:0
  • 22.10.2025Dallas Stars — Columbus Blue Jackets1:5
  • 26.02.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Dallas Stars6:4
  • 03.02.2025Dallas Stars — Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
  • 10.11.2023Columbus Blue Jackets — Dallas Stars2:5

Full record: 19 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
20New York Islanders731320–17+37
21Dallas Stars731316–13+37
22St. Louis Blues731325–23+27
28Vancouver Canucks921628–41-135
29Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
30Philadelphia Flyers903611–33-223

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →